DR. SEAN GUILLORY
"Betting is The Atomic Unit of Cognitive Warfare"
Critical Cognitive Infrastructure
PhD in Cognitive Neuroscience, Dartmouth College
Co-Founder and CEO, BetBreakingNews (also referred to elsewhere as Betting Intelligence, confirm current name), applying prediction market intelligence to national security
Former cognitive neuroscience and defense technology contributor, Booz Allen Hamilton
Co-Host, MAD Warfare podcast; Contributor, The Cipher Brief and Tech Policy Press
Board Member, Information Professionals Association, and the Mind Science Foundation's Science Committee
Thursday
11:30 AM
Soldiers of Fortune: How Prediction Markets will Guide the Future of Warfare
Since the beginning of the year, the potential for prediction markets to disrupt warfare planning and commerce through insider trading has become apparent. This is the tip of the iceberg in where this industry is scaling to and what can be done in the cognitive security front. This talk will discuss how betting is at the root of all cognitive warfare, how future revolutions and terrorist attacks will be financed by offshore prediction markets, and how prediction markets provide the monkey paw’d answer for the measures of effects that we’ve been seeking in the information operations space for a long time. Finally, it introduces the emerging discipline of Betting Intelligence (BETINT) and examines how governments, military organizations, and security professionals can leverage market activity as a source of strategic warning while preparing for the risks posed by increasingly liquid, global prediction markets.
Dr. Sean Guillory is a nationally recognized expert in cognitive warfare, influence operations, and behavioral strategy. With over a decade of experience supporting U.S. defense and intelligence agencies, Sean specializes in understanding and shaping human decision-making at scale within the world’s most contested information environments.
A Dartmouth-trained Ph.D. cognitive neuroscientist, Sean pioneers cutting-edge tools for non-kinetic warfare at the volatile intersection of neuroscience, psychology, and national defense. His career has evolved from mapping brain functions in neurosurgery patients to prototyping behavioral tools for federal agencies. Today, he advises clients on how prediction markets are reshaping geopolitical security and how to navigate the emerging risks in these digital environments.
Sean is the Co-founder and CEO of BetBreakingNews, which leverages prediction market intelligence to drive actionable decisions for corporate and national security clients. He is also the co-host of the MAD Warfare podcast, where he explores the nuances of unconventional conflict. Additionally, Sean serves on the boards of the Information Professionals Association and the Mind Science Foundation’s Science Committee, fostering the research and practical applications necessary to protect the modern cognitive landscape.